Institute for Transport Studies (ITS)

Staff photo

Professor Andrew Daly

Research Professor

Email: daly@rand.org_
Research Group: Choice Modelling

Key Research Interests

  • choice modelling
  • travel demand modelling
  • model estimation and optimisation
  • software development and support
  • estimation of consumer valuations

Employment History

  • Project Manager, Local Government OR Unit, Reading, 1969-77
  • Director, Cambridge Systematics Europe and Vice-President, Cambridge Systematics Inc., The Hague, 1977-85
  • Co-Founder and Director, Hague Consulting Group, The Hague, 1985-2001
  • Modelling Director, then Senior Adviser, RAND Europe, Leiden and Cambridge, 2001-date
  • Software developer, HCG Software, 2001-2006 and ALOGIT Software & Analysis, 2007-date
  • Research Professor, ITS, 1998-date

Education

  • BA, Mathematics, Oxford University, 1969

Professional Engagements

  • member of organising committees for conferences
  • Chair, Methodological Innovations Committee, European Transport Conference 2003-2006
  • frequent reviewer for journals

Research Projects and Experience

  • manager and/or supervising director and/or adviser for several hundred professional or academic projects
  • contract negotiation, report writing, presentation
  • adviser to governments on transport modelling

Teaching

  • supervised 2 Masters theses and 2 Ph.D. students
  • external examiner for 6 Ph.D. theses in 4 other countries
  • many occasional lectures and seminars at ITS and other universities

Papers

Books

Book Chapters

  • Zhang J; Daly A (2009) Group behaviour modelling, In: Kitamura R; et al. (Ed) Selected papers from the proceedings of the 11th conference on travel behaviour research (Kyoto), Emerald Books.
  • Daly AJ; Carrasco J (2009) The influence of trip length on marginal time and money values, In: Kitamura R; et al. (Ed) Selected papers from the proceedings of the 11th conference on travel behaviour research (Kyoto), Emerald Books.
  • Daly AJ (2007) Properties of Random Utility Models of Consumer Choice, In: Heydecker B (Ed) Mathematics in Transport, Elsevier, pp.pp.1.
  • Daly AJ (2001) Updating and Extending National Models, In: Lundqvist; L; Mattson; L-G (Ed) National Transport Models, Springer.
  • Nielsen OA; Hansen CO; Daly AJ (2001) A large-scale model system for the Copenhagen-Ringsted railway project, In: Hensher D (Ed) Travel Behaviour Research: The Leading Edge, Pergamon, pp.603-626.
  • Daly AJ; Nielsen OA (2001) Large-scale model systems, report of applications workshop in IATBR Conference, In: Hensher D (Ed) Travel behaviour research: the leading edge, Pergamon, pp.315-325.
  • Paag H; Daly AJ; Rohr C (2001) Predicting use of the Copenhagen harbour tunnel, In: Hensher D (Ed) Travel Behaviour Research: The Leading Edge, Pergamon, pp.627-646.
  • Daly AJ (2000) National Models, In: Hensher D; Button K (Ed) Handbook of Transport Modelling, Pergamon, pp.421-432.
  • Bradley MA; Daly AJ (2000) New analysis issues in Stated Preference research, In: Ortuzar JD (Ed) Stated Preference Modelling Techniques: Perspectives 4, PTRC Education and Research Services Ltd, London.
  • Cirillo C; Daly AJ; Lindveld K (2000) Eliminating bias due to the repeated measurements problem in SP data, In: Ortuzar JD (Ed) Stated Preference Modelling Techniques: PTRC Perspectives 4, PTRC Education and Research Services Ltd.
  • Daly AJ; Rohr C; Jovicic G (1999) Application of models based on stated and revealed preference data for forecasting traffic between East and West Denmark, Proceedings of 8th World Conference on Transport Research, Antwerp, pp.121-134.
  • Ettema D; Daly AJ; de Jong G; Kroes EP (1998) Een verkeersmodel op basis van activiteitenpatronen, In: Kapoen; et al. (Ed) Op weg naar steden van morgen, Van Gorcum.
  • de Jong G; Daly AJ; Gunn HF; Blom U (1998) Forecasting Car Occupancy: literature Review and Model Development, In: Ortúzar JD; Hensher D; Jara-Diaz S (Ed) Travel Behaviour Research: Updating the State of Play, Elsevier.
  • Daly AJ; Rohr C (1998) Forecasting demand for new travel alternatives, In: Garling T; Laitila T; Westin K (Ed) Theoretical foundations of travel choice modeling, Elsevier, pp.451-471.
  • Bradley MA; Daly AJ (1997) Estimation of choice models using mixed stated preference and revealed preference information, In: Stopher P; Lee-Gosselin M (Ed) Understanding travel behaviour in an era of change, Pergamon, pp.209-231.
  • Algers S; Daly AJ; Kjellman P (1996) Stockholm model system (SIMS): Application, In: Hensher DA; King J; Oum T (Ed) Seventh World Conference on Transport Research, Sydney, Pergamon.
  • van Knippenberg C; Daly AJ (1989) Handboek Sociale Verkeerskunde ( A Handbook of Social Traffic Studies ), .
  • Ben-Akiva M; Bergman MJ; Daly AJ; Ramaswamy R (1984) Modelling inter-urban route choice behaviour, Proceedings of 8th International SYmposium on Transport and Traffic Theory (Kijkduin), VNU Press, pp.299-330.
  • Daly AJ (1984) Cost Saving Methods in Travel Demand Forecasting, In: Pitfield DE (Ed) Discrete Choice Models in Regional Science, .
  • Daly AJ (1981) Behavioural Travel Modelling - Some European Experience, In: Bannister D; Hall P (Ed) Transport and Public Policy Planning, .
  • Daly AJ (1981) Some Issues in the Application of Disaggregate Choice Models, In: Stopher PR; Meyburg AH; Brog W (Ed) New Horizons in Travel-Behaviour Research, .
  • Daly AJ (1979) Some Developments in Travel Demand Modelling, In: Hensher DA; Stopher PR (Ed) Behavioural Travel Modelling, .
  • Daly AJ (1978) Issues in the estimation of journey attribute values, In: Hensher DA; Dalvi MQ (Ed) Determinants of Travel Choice, Saxon House.
  • Daly AJ; Zachary S (1978) Improved multiple choice models, In: Hensher DA; Dalvi MQ (Ed) Determinants of Travel Choice, .
  • Daly AJ (1974) Research on transport demand models, Proceedings, fifteenth annual meeting of the transportation research forum, San Francisco, .
  • Cooper DM; Daly AJ (1972) Location of incinerators, Proccedings of symposium on incineration of refuse and sludge, Southampton University Press.

Conference Papers

Conference Presentations

  • Arrelana J; Daly AJ; Hess S; Ortuzar JDD; Rizzi L (2012) Developing surveys for the study of departure time choice: a two-stage efficient design approach, 91st Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board .
  • Hess S; Hensher DA; Daly AJ (2012) Not bored yet : revisiting respondent fatigue in stated choice experiments, 91st Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board .
  • Hess S; Daly AJ; Dumont J; Sanko N (2012) When explanatory variables are unobserved: the example of latent income, 13th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research, Toronto. .
  • Rose JM; Hess S; Bliemer MCJ; Daly A (2011) Impact of Varying Number of Repeated Choice Observations on Mixed Multinomial Logit Model, 90th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, D.C. .
  • Crockett J; Lowe S; Fox J; Daly A; Vitouladiti S; Bates J (2011) A greening of the private vehicle fleet? An examination of the market for low emission vehicles in London, European Transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ; Fox J; Patruni B (2011) Pivoting in travel demand models, European Transport Conference .
  • Fox J; Daly A; Patruni B; Milthorpe F (2011) Extending the Sydney Strategic Model to represent toll road and park-and-ride choices, European Transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ; Hess S; Train KE (2011) Ensuring Finite Moments for Willingness to Pay in Random Coefficient Models, 90th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board .
  • Hess S; Stathopoulos A; Daly AJ (2011) Mixing of Behavioural Processes: Modelling Framework and Four Case Studies, 90th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board .
  • Daly AJ; Hess S (2011) Simple Approaches for Random Utility Modelling with Panel Data, 90th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board .
  • Hess S; Stathopoulos A; Daly AJ (2011) Allowing for heterogeneous decision rules in discrete choice models: an approach and four case studies, presented at ICMC, Second International Choice Modelling Conference, Oulton Hall, Leeds. .
  • Connors R; Hess S; Daly A (2011) On the computation of probit choice probabilities, Second International Choice Modelling Conference, Oulton Hall, Leeds. .
  • Hess S; Daly AJ; Hensher DA; Adler TJ (2011) The role of constants in WTP computation, European Transport Conference, Glasgow, October 2011. .
  • Daly AJ; Patil S (2010) A perennial problem in using logit models for travel demand analysis, European Transport Conference .
  • Rohr C; Fox J; Daly A; Patruni B; Patil S; Tsang F (2010) Modelling long-distance travel in the UK, European Transport Conference .
  • Tsang F; Daly A (2010) Forecasting car ownership in the Sydney area, European Transport Conference .
  • Rich J; Prato CG; Daly A (2011) Activity-based demand modelling on a large scale: experiencefrom the new Danish National Model, European Transport Conference .
  • Milthorpe F; Daly A (2010) Comparison of trip and tour analysis of Sydney Household Travel Survey data, Australasian Transport Research Forum .
  • Smith M; Daly A; Watling D (2010) Integrated models of travel demand and network equilibrium using tours: theoretical propoerties and development of convergent algorithms, Mathematics and its Applications .
  • Daly A; Hess S (2010) Simple methods for panel data analysis, 12th triennial WCTR conference, Lisbon. .
  • Daly AJ; Hess S (2010) Simple Approaches for Random Utility Modelling with Panel Data, European Transport Conference, Glasgow, October 2010. .
  • Rohr C; Daly A; Patruni B; Tsang F (2009) The importance of frequency and destination choice effects in long-distance travel behaviour: what choice models can tell us., International conference on choice modelling .
  • De Jong G; Daly AJ; Batley R; Ibáñez GC; De Bok M (2008) Welfare Measures In The Presence Of Income Effect., AET European Transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ; Jong GD; Ibanez JN; Batley R; Bok MD (2008) Welfare Measures from Discrete Choice Models in the Presence of Income Effect, Eurpoean transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ; Choudhury C; Burge P; Sivakumar A (2008) Dealing With Repeated Choices in Stated Preference Data, European Transport Conference .
  • Fox J; Rohr C; Daly A; Patruni B; Hyman G (2008) Manchester Motorway Box: Post Survey Research of Induced Traffic Effects, European Transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ; Hess S (2008) Calculating Errors for Measures Derived From Choice Modelling Estimates, European Transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ (2008) The Relationship of Cost Sensitivity and Trip Length, European transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ (2008) Elasticity, Model Scale and Error, European Transport Conference .
  • Daly AJ; Toner JP (2007) New insights into issues in the design of stated choice experiments, UTSG 2007 .
  • Gordon A; Daly AJ; Bates JJ; Oladeinde F (2007) Modelling time period choice in large-scale hierarchical demand models: some problems and a solution, ETC 2007 .
  • Daly AJ; Burge P (2007) Valuing accessibility to local public services, , Oslo Workshop on Valuation Methods in Transport Planning, .
  • Marzano V; Daly AJ (2007) Addressing homoskedasticity in invariant random utility models, ETC 2007 .
  • Fox J; Daly AJ; Miller S; van Vuren T; Coombe D; Hyman G (2007) Manchester Motorway Box: post survey research on induced traffic effects, Association for European Transport, European Transport Conference 2007, Noordwijkerhout. .
  • Miller S; Daly AJ; Fox J; Kohli S (2007) Destination sampling in forecasting: application in the PRISM model for the UK West Midlands Region, Association for European Transport, European Transport Conderence 2007. Noordwijkerhout. .
  • Ibanez JN; Toner JP; Daly AJ (2007) Optimality and efficiency requirements for the design of stated choice experiments , Association for European Transport, European Transport Conference 2007 .
  • de Jong G; Daly AJ; Kroes EP; van der Hoorn A (2006) Using the logsum in project appraisal, 11th IATBR conference, Kyoto .
  • Daly AJ; Hyman G (2006) The rules of the game, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg. .
  • Kouwenhoven M; Rohr C; Miller S; Daly AJ; Laird JJ (2006) Evaluating a replacement ferry for the Isles of Scilly using a discrete choice model framework. Applied Methods in Transport Planning, European Transport Conference , Strasbourg .
  • Petersen E; Daly AJ; Miller S; Fox J (2006) Overcoming data deficiencies through advanced modelling techniques, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg. .
  • Daly AJ; Kohli S (2006) The use of logsums in welfare estimation: application in PRISM, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg. .
  • Daly AJ; de Jong G (2006) Errors in functions of the parameters of statistically estimated models, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg, 2006 .
  • Daly AJ; Fox J; Tuinenga JG (2005) Pivot-point procedures in practical travel demand forecasting, Conference of European Regional Science Association, Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam .
  • van Vuren T; Gordon A; Daly AJ; Fox J; Rohr C (2004) PRISM: Modelling 21st Century Transport Policies in the West Midlands Region, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg, Seminar on Applied Transport Methods .
  • Fox J; Kouwenhoven M; Daly AJ; Gunn HF (2004) Using road-side interviews to model employer’s business and non-home-based travel in the West Midlands, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg .
  • Daly AJ (2004) Properties of Random Utility Models of Consumer Choice, TraLog Conference, Molde .
  • Batley RP; Daly AJ (2004) Departure time choice under uncertainty: a model of random utility maximisation for wagers, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg .
  • Hess S; Polak JW; Daly AJ (2003) On the performance of shuffled Halton sequences in the estimation of discrete choice models, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg. .
  • Sola Conde P; Daly AJ (2002) Person-specific models in SP analysis, European Transport Conference, Cambridge 2002 .
  • Batley RP; Daly AJ; Whelan GA; Fowkes AS (2002) Modelling choice set generation in the context of route choice, UTSG Annual Conference 2002, Edinburgh .
  • Daly AJ; Gunn HF (2002) Simultaneous analysis of choice and transfer price data, European Transport Conference, Cambridge 2002 .
  • Sanko N; Daly AJ; Kroes EP (2002) Best practice in SP design, European Transport Conference, Cambridge, 2002 .
  • Daly AJ; Fox J; Rohr C (2002) Advanced modelling to overcome data limitations in the Norwegian Transport Model, European Transport Conference, Cambridge 2002 .
  • Whelan GA; Batley RP; Fowkes AS; Daly AJ (2002) Flexible Models for Analysing Route and Departure Time Choice, European Transport Conference, Cambridge, 2002. .
  • Batley RP; Fowkes AS; Whelan GA; Daly AJ (2001) Models for Choice of Departure Time, European Transport Conference, Cambridge, 2001. .
  • Batley RP; Fowkes AS; Watling DP; Whelan GA; Daly AJ; Hato E (2001) Models for analysing route choice, Universities Transport Study Group conference, Oxford, 2001 .
  • Pedersen KS; Denver L; Daly AJ; Rohr C (2001) Great Belt link - traffic before and after, European Transport Conference, Cambridge .
  • Bakker D; Mijjer P; Daly AJ; Hofman F (2000) Updating the Netherlands National Model, ETC Conference .
  • Page M; Whelan GA; Daly AJ (2000) Modelling the factors which influence new car purchasing, European Transport Conference .
  • Burge P; Daly AJ; Rohr C; Heywood C; Sheldon R; Crowther B; Rees J (2000) SP research: scales or choices: which are best?, ETC Conference .
  • Milthorpe F; Daly AJ; Rohr C (2000) Re-estimation of the Sydney Travel Model, IATBR 2000 Conference .
  • Daly AJ (2000) Estimating values of travel time, Conference on Value of Time, Easthampstead Park .
  • Whelan GA; Wardman MR; Daly AJ (2000) Is There a Limit to Car Ownership Growth? An Exploration of Household Saturation Levels Using Two Novel Approaches, ETC Conference, 2000. .
  • Wätjen L; Pedersen KS; Daly AJ; Møller L (1999) Traffic across the Great Belt, Paper presented to International Road Federation regional conference, Lahti, Finland .
  • Daly AJ (1999) The use of schedule-based assignments in public transport modelling, Proceedings European Transport Conference, held at Cambridge University, September London, PTRC Education and Research Services Ltd. Seminar F, Transportation Planning Methods P434, .
  • van Vuren T; Daly AJ; Hyman G (1998) Modelling Departure Time Choice, Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk .
  • Daly AJ (1998) Prototypical Sampling as a Basis for Forecasting with Disaggregate Models, PTRC/AET Conference .
  • Daly AJ (1997) Improved Methods for Trip Generation, PTRC European Transport Forum .
  • Daly AJ (1997) Living Models for Continuous Planning, International Association for Travel Behaviour Research Conference, Austin, Texas .
  • van Vuren T; Daly AJ (1996) Forecasting Induced Traffic on Large-Scale Transport Infrastructure in Europe, PTRC European Transport Forum .
  • Cohn ND; Daly AJ; Rohr C; Dam AF; Oosterwikj W; van der Star T (1996) ProMiSe: Policy-Sensitive Rail Passenger Forecasting for the Netherlands Railways, PTRC European Transport Forum .
  • Bakker D; Mijjer P; Daly AJ; Vrolijk PC; Hofman F (1995) Prediction and Evaluation of the Effects of Traffic Management Measures on Congestion and Vehicle Queues., PTRC European Transport Forum,1994 .
  • Daly AJ; Lindveld K (1995) Forecasting Non-Home-Based Trips as Components of a Tour Model, PTRC European Transport Forum .
  • Andersen KE; Daly AJ; Watjen WD (1995) Passenger Demand Forecasts for Travel between East and West Denmark., Seventh World Conference on Transport Research .
  • Andersen KE; Daly AJ; Watjen WD (1994) Passenger Demand Forecasts for Travel between East and West Denmark., Econometrics Symposium, Calais .
  • Bradley MA; Daly AJ (1994) Use of the Logit Scaling Approach to Test for Rank-Order and Fatigue Effects in Stated Preterence Data., 6th World Conference on Transport Research, Lyon .
  • Vrolijk PC; Daly AJ; Mijjer P; Kleijn HJ (1994) Road Pricing Charging Systems in The Netherlands., PTRC European Transport Forum .
  • Daly AJ; Bradley MA (1993) Predicting Demand for Major Infrastructure Links., PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Algers S; Daly AJ; Widlert S (1992) The Stockholm Model System: Shopping Trips., 6th World Conference on Transport Research, Lyon, 1992 .
  • Algers S; Daly AJ; Widlert S (1991) Modelling Travel Behaviour to Support Policy Making in Stckholm., 6th International Conference on Travel Behaviour, Quebec .
  • Watjen WD; Waagstein E; Andersen KE; Denver L; Daly AJ (1990) The Great Belt Link in Denmark., PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Daly AJ; Gunn HF; Hungerink G; Kroes EP; Mijjer P (1990) Peak-Period Proportions in Large-Scale Modelling., PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Mijjer P; Daly AJ; Hungerink G (1990) Toepassing van een 'Time-of-Day' Module in het Landelijk Model (Application of a Time-of Day Module in the National Model), Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk .
  • Daly AJ; de Jong G; Brohm G (1990) Vervoerswijzekeuzemodellen met carpooling ( Mode Choice Models with Car-Pooling), Colloquim Vervoers- planologisch Speurwerk, Den Haag .
  • Algers S; Daly AJ; Widlert S (1989) The Stockholm Model System - Travel to Work., World Conference on Transportation Research, Yokohama .
  • Daly AJ; Gunn HF; Hungerink G; Vrolijk PC (1988) Applications of the Netherlands National Model to Support Investigations of Transport Policy, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Gunn HF; van der Hoorn A; Daly AJ (1987) Long-Range, Country-Wide Travel Demand Forecasts from Models of Individual Choice., Fidth International Conference on Travel Behaviour, Aix-en-Provence .
  • Ben-Akiva M; Daly AJ; Gunn HF (1987) Destination Choice Models: Design and Appraisal., PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Hall MD; Davies RF; Daly AJ; Russell CH (1987) Modelling for an Expanding City (Santiago de Chile), PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Daly AJ; Klok M; Meurs H (1986) Bepaling consumentenuitgaven vervoer ( Calculation of Consumers' Expenditure on Travel ), Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, The Hague .
  • Antonisse RW; Daly AJ; Gunn HF (1986) The Primary Destination Tour Approach for Modelling Trip Chains, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting, 1986 .
  • Daly AJ; Gunn HF (1985) Cost-effective Methods for National-Level Demand Forecasting, Conference on Behavioural Research for Transport Policy, Noordwijk .
  • Bergman MJ; Barkey P; Daly AJ (1984) Het interlocale routekeuzegedrag van automobilisten; een modelmatige analyse, Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, The Hague .
  • Gunn HF; Fisher P; Daly AJ; Pol H (1983) Synthetic Samples as a Basis for Enumerating Disaggregate Models, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Daly AJ; van Zwam HHP; van der Valk J (1983) Application of Disaggregate Models for a Regional Transport Study in the Netherlands, World Conference on Transport Research, Hamburg .
  • Daly AJ (1983) Recent Developments in Car Ownership in The Netherlands, Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, Zandvoort .
  • Daly AJ; Gunn HF; Pol H; Barkey P (1982) Overdracht van vraagmodellen onder gebruikmaking van data verschillende bronnen, Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk .
  • Daly AJ (1982) Policy Analysis using Sample Enumeration - an application to car ownership forecasting, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Geinzer JC; Daly AJ; Pol H (1981) Ontwikkeling en toepassing van een gecombineerd rijbewijs- en autobezitsmodel ( Development and application of a combined driving licence and car ownership model ), Colloquium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk, The Hague .
  • Daly AJ; van Zwam HHP (1981) Travel Demand Models for the Zuidvleugel Study, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Kocur G; MacMannn J; Brown H; Daly AJ (1979) A Model of Weekend Recreation Travel Demand, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Ruhl A; Daly AJ; Dobson G (1979) The Use of Disaggregate Models for Railway Investment Decisions in Holland, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Ben-Akiva M; Kullman BC; Sherman L; Daly AJ (1978) Aggregate Forecasting with a System of Disaggregate Travel Demand Models, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Daly AJ (1977) Cost Influences on Car Ownership and Use, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Evans SE; Daly AJ (1977) Computer Methods in Bus Fleet Management, Operational Research in the Bus Industry .
  • Daly AJ (1976) Estimating Bus Passenger Waiting Times, Operational Research in the Bus Industry .
  • Daly AJ; Zachary S (1975) Calibration of Modal Split Models, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Daly AJ (1975) Measuring Accessibility in a Rural Context, Rural Transport, Polytechnic of Central London .
  • Daly AJ; Last A (1975) Modelling the Walk Mode, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .
  • Daly AJ (1973) TRANSEPT - A Multipath Public Transport Assignment Model, PTRC Summer Annual Meeting .

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