Institute for Transport Studies (ITS)

Staff photo

Professor Joyce Dargay

Emeritus Professor of Transport Econometrics

Email: J.M.Dargay@leeds.ac.uk_

Key Research Interests

  • Transport demand modelling
  • Policy analysis
  • Environmental issues
  • Travel behaviour
  • Energy demand modelling

Employment History

  • 2004-05: Principal Research Fellow, Transport Studies Unit, University of Oxford
  • 1996-04: Principal Research Fellow and Deputy Director of the Economic and Social Research Council's Transport Studies Unit, Centre for Transport Studies, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, UCL
  • 1993-96: Senior Research Fellow, Transport Studies Unit, University of Oxford
  • 1988-92: Research Fellow, Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, Oxford and Energy Research Fellow, St. Antony's College, University of Oxford.
  • 1986-87: Research Fellow, Department of Economics, Uppsala University, Sweden.
  • 1977-86: Research Fellow, Energy Systems Research Group, Department of Economics, University of Stockholm, Sweden.
  • 1981-83: Visiting Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research, New York.
  • 1981-82: Research Associate, Industrial Institute for Economic and Social Research, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • 1981-82: Research Assistant, Institute for International Economic Studies, University of Stockholm, Sweden.

Education

  • B.Sc. in Mathematics (1971), Drexel University, Philadelphia, Pa., USA
  • Ph.D. in Economics (1987), Uppsala University, Sweden

Professional Engagements

  • Management Committee, ESF COST Action 355; “Changing behaviour towards a more sustainable transport system” (2004- )
  • Chair, Working Group on the Automobile, ESF COST Action 355 (2004- )

Research Projects and Experience

  • Ministry of Industry, Sweden, expert advice to Energy Commission: Energy price elasticities and the distributional effects of energy price rises (1977-78)
  • Ministry of Industry, Sweden, Secretary to the Working Group on the Effects on Private Households, Commission on the Consequences of Abolishing Nuclear Power (1979)
  • Ministry of Housing, Sweden, expert advice to Energy Conservation Delegation: Effects of prices and information on residential energy use (1980)
  • Ministry of the Budget, Sweden, expert advice to Energy Taxation Committee: Effects of alternative energy taxation systems on income distribution (1981)
  • Swedish Board of Energy: The demand for energy in the transport sector (1984)
  • Greater Manchester Transport Executive: Distribution of government grants for public transport (1992)
  • South Yorkshire Passenger Transport Executive: Price sensitivity of concessionary fares passengers (1993)
  • Atlantic Richfield Oil Company: Price elasticities of oil demand in the OECD and LDCs (1994)
  • CRESET, Bogata, Colombia: Competitiveness of Colombian oil on the international market (1994)
  • Union Railways Ltd.: Review of forecasts for the Channel Tunnel Rail Link (1995)
  • Ministry of Trade and Industry, Finland: expert advice on planning survey and analysis of bus use (1995)
  • Ministry of Transport and Communications, Finland: the effects of travel subsidies on bus use in Finnish urban areas (1995-96)
  • Royal Automobile Club (RAC) Foundation for Motoring and the Environment: Investigation into the factors contributing to car dependence (1995)
  • South Yorkshire Passenger Transport Executive and Department of Transport, UK: Supertram monitoring study (1996-97)
  • ESRC Designated Research Centre award (deputy director of centre, grant holder PB Goodwin; lead responsibility for modelling and analytical work within the programme) (1994 - 2004)
  • Department of the Environment: Development of a model for the analysis of the impacts of environmental policies on greenhouse gas emissions from the UK transport sector (collaborators: J. Dodgson, C. Holman, P. Goodwin, R. Mackett and P. Vythoulkas), project manager and principal investigator (1996)
  • DETR: Estimation of bus fare elasticities for the UK (collaborators: P. Goodwin, TAS Partnership Ltd. and Leeds University), project manager and principal investigator (1998-99)
  • Volvo Research Foundation, grant for preparatory work on analysis of behavioural complexity (with B. Heydecker) (2001)
  • DfT: Development of an aggregate transport forecasting model for the UK (collaborators P. Goodwin and M. Hanly), project manager and principal investigator (2001-02)
  • DfT: Review of passenger transport elasticities, (with P. Goodwin and M. Hanly) (2001-02)
  • Greater Manchester Passenger Transport Executive: expert advice on public transport modelling (2003)
  • Institut National de Recherche sur les Transports et leur Securité (INRETS), France: estimation of public transport elasticities for France (2004)
  • Passenger Demand Forecasting Council: advice on modelling the dynamics of rail travel (2004)
  • Agence de l'Environnement et de la Maîtrise de l'Energie, France: “The car in Europe”, collaborative project with French and German Partners, principal investigator for UK contribution (2004-05)
  • OECD: Household Behaviour and Environmental Policy, module on Personal Transport (2005-07)
  • Scottish Executive: Rail Fares Evidence in Scotland: A review (2006)
  • DfT: External factors in rail demand data extension and modelling (2006)
  • Commission for Integrated Transport: Public attitudes towards aviation and climate change (2006)
  • DfT: Revealed preference study to assess the impact of reliability on passenger rail demand (2006-7)
  • ATOC: London fares elasticities (2007)
  • DfT: Real productivity differentials (2007)
  • Independent Transport Commission: Long-distance travel (2008)

Teaching

  • Statistical Methods for Economics, Philosophy, Politics and Economics (PPE) degree, Oxford University (1988-92)
  • Quantitative Methods, Diploma in Development Economics, Oxford University (1988-89)
  • Assessor, Statistical Methods in Economics, PPE, Oxford University (1990)
  • Examiner, Elementary Quantitative Methods, Special Diploma in Social Studies, Oxford University (1991)
  • Econometrics, M.Sc. in Development Economics, Oxford University (1989-94)
  • Quantitative Methods, M.Sc. in Agricultural Economics, Oxford University (1992-95)
  • Guest Lecturer, Transport Modelling component of Transport Economics, M.Sc. in Logistics, Oulu University, Finland (2003)
  • Transport Economics module of Transport Studies option, B.Eng. Civil and Environmental Engineering, UCL (2003)
  • Lectures on Air transport and climate change, Introduction to Surface and Air Transport, TRAN 1030, ITS, Leeds (2007)

Papers

  • Johnson DH; Dargay J; Reilly K (2012) Regional Productivity Differentials in Great Britain, In preparation, .
  • Dargay JM (2008) Personal Transport Choice, OECD: Household Behaviour and the Environment, 2008/2, pp.59-93. doi: 10.1787/gen_papers-v2008-art11-en
  • Dargay J; Hivert L; Legros D (2008) The Dynamics of Car Availability in EU Countries - A Comparison Based on the Eurpoean Community Panel Survey, IATSS Research, 32, pp.44-55.
  • Dargay JM (2007) The effect of prices and income on car travel in the UK, Transportation Research. Part A: Policy & Practice, 41, pp.949-960. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2007.05.005
  • Dargay J; Hanly M (2007) Volatility of car ownership, commuting mode and time in the UK, TRANSPORT RES A-POL, 41, pp.934-948. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2007.05.003
  • Dargay JM; Gately D; Sommer M (2007) Vehicle Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030, Energy, 28, pp.pp.1.
  • Jorgensen F; Dargay J (2007) Inferring price elasticities of car use and moral costs of driving without a licence, TRANSPORT RES A-POL, 41, pp.49-55. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2006.05.007
  • Van Ommeren J; Dargay J (2006) The optimal choice of commuting speed: Consequences for commuting time, distance and costs, J TRANSP ECON POLICY, 40, pp.279-296.
  • Dargay JM; Giuliano G (2006) Car ownership, travel and land use: a comparison of the US and Great Britain , Transportation Research. Part A: Policy & Practice, 40, pp.106-124.
  • Goodwin P; Dargay J; Hanly M (2004) Elasticities of road traffic and fuel consumption with respect to price and income: A review, TRANSPORT REV, 24, pp.275-292. doi: 10.1080/0144164042000181725
  • Bresson G; Dargay J; Madre JL; Pirotte A (2004) Economic and structural determinants of the demand for public transport: an analysis on a panel of French urban areas using shrinkage estimators, TRANSPORT RES A-POL, 38, pp.269-285. doi: 10.1016/j.tra.2003.11.002
  • Bresson G; Dargay J; Madre JL; Pirotte A (2003) The main determinants of the demand for public transport: a comparative analysis of England and France using shrinkage estimators, TRANSPORT RES A-POL, 37, pp.605-627. doi: 10.1016/S0965-8564(03)00009-0
  • Dargay JM (2002) Determinants of car ownership in rural and urban areas: a pseudo-panel analysis, TRANSPORT RES E-LOG, 38, pp.351-366.
  • Dargay J (2002) Road vehicles: future growth in developed and developing countries, P I CIVIL ENG-MUNIC, 151, pp.3-11.
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2002) The demand for local bus services in England, J TRANSP ECON POLICY, 36, pp.73-91.
  • Dargay JM (2001) The effect of income on car ownership: evidence of asymmetry, TRANSPORT RES A-POL, 35, pp.807-821.
  • Dargay JM; Vythoulkas PC (1999) Estimation of a dynamic car ownership model - A pseudo-panel approach, J TRANSP ECON POLICY, 33, pp.287-301.
  • Dargay J; Gately D (1999) Income's effect on car and vehicle ownership, worldwide: 1960-2015, TRANSPORT RES A-POL, 33, pp.101-138.
  • Dargay J; Gately D (1997) Vehicle ownership to 2015: implications for energy use and emissions, ENERG POLICY, 25, pp.1121-1127.
  • Dargay J; Gately D (1997) The demand for transportation fuels: Imperfect price-reversibility?, TRANSPORT RES B-METH, 31, pp.71-82.
  • DARGAY JM; GOODWIN PB (1995) EVALUATION OF CONSUMER SURPLUS WITH DYNAMIC DEMAND, J TRANSP ECON POLICY, 29, pp.179-193.
  • DARGAY J; GATELY D (1995) THE RESPONSE OF WORLD-ENERGY AND OIL DEMAND TO INCOME GROWTH AND CHANGES IN OIL PRICES, ANNU REV ENERG ENV, 20, pp.145-178.
  • DARGAY J; GATELY D (1995) THE IMPERFECT PRICE REVERSIBILITY OF NON-TRANSPORT OIL DEMAND IN THE OECD, ENERG ECON, 17, pp.59-71.
  • DARGAY JM (1993) DEMAND ELASTICITIES - A COMMENT, J TRANSP ECON POLICY, 27, pp.87-90.

Conference Papers

  • Dargay J; Batley R; Ibanez J; Wardman M; Shires J (2008) An Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Reliability on Passenger Rail Demand, .
  • Johnson D; Dargay J; Reilly K (2008) Real Regional Productivity Differentials for Use in Transport Appraisal, .
  • Dargay JM; Vythoulkas P (2007) Car ownership in Greece and UK: a comparison based on pseudo panel analysis, COST355 Meeting, Madrid, 9-11 May,2007 .
  • Dargay JM; Gately D; Huntington H (2007) Price and Income Responsiveness of World Oil Demand, by Product, Energy Modeling Forum, EMF OP 61, Stanford University, USA. .
  • Dargay JM (2007) The demand for international air travel in the UK, UTSG Conference at Harrogate, 3-5 January, 2007. .
  • Dargay JM; Gately D; Sommer M (2006) Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030, British Institute of Energy Economics Conference, Oxford, 20-22 September, 2006 .
  • Dargay JM; Gately D; Sommer M (2006) Vehicle Ownership and Income Growth, Worldwide: 1960-2030,, BIEE Conference, Oxford, 20-22 September, 2006. .
  • Dargay JM (2006) Gender Differences in Commuting, Nectar Workshop on Employment, EMCIS2006 - Costa Blanca, Alicante, Spain .
  • Dargay JM; Hivert L; Legros D (2006) An investigation of car ownership in Europe based on the European Community Household Panel, 11th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research, Kyoto, 16-20, August 2006 .
  • Dargay JM; Van Ommeren J (2005) The effect of income on commuting time using panel data, 8th NECTAR conference Las Palmas G.C. June 2-4, 2005. .
  • Dargay JM; Hivert L (2005) The dynamics of car ownership in EU countries: a comparison based on the European Household Panel Survey, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg, France 3 - 5 October, 2005. .
  • Dargay JM; Van Ommeren J (2005) The effect of income on commuting time using panel data , 45th Conference of the European Regional Science Association 23-27 August Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, 2005. .
  • Dargay JM; Giuliano G (2005) Car ownership, travel and land use: a comparison of the US and Great Britain, TRB Conference, January 2005 .
  • Jevons D; Meaney A; Robins N; Dargay JM; Preston J; Goodwin P; Wardman MR (2005) How do Rail Passengers Respond to Change?, AET European Transport Conference. .
  • Dargay JM (2005) The journey to work: an analysis of mode choice based on panel data,, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg, France 3 - 5 October, 2005. .
  • Dargay JM (2005) Choice of commuting mode: a panel data analysis, 8th NECTAR conference Las Palmas G.C. June 2-4, 2005. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2004) Volatility of Car Ownership, Commuting Mode and Time in The UK, WCTR conference in Istanbul, July 2004. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2004) Local Services and Travel Patterns in the NTS , UTSG conference, Newcastle, January 2004. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2004) Land Use and Mobility, WCTR conference in Istanbul, July 2004. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2004) The Effect of Prices and Income on Car Travel in The UK, WCTR conference in Istanbul, July 2004. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2003) Travel to Work: An Investigation Based on the British Household Panel Survey, NECTAR Conference no. 7, Umeå, Sweden, June 2003. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2003) A Panel Data Exploration of Travel to Work, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg, France, October 2003. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M; Madre JL; Hivert L; Chlond B (2003) Demotorisastion Seen Through a Follow-up of Panel Surveys: A Comparison of France, Britain and Germany, 10th IATBR Conference, Lucerne, Switzerland, August 2003. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2003) The Impact of Land Use Patterns on Travel Behaviour, European Transport Conference, Strasbourg, France, October 2003. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2002) The Determinants of the Demand for International Air Travel to and from the UK, Universities’ Transport Study Group 34th Annual Conference, Edinburgh, 3-5 January, 2002. .
  • Dargay J; Hanly M (2002) Bus patronage in Great Britain - Econometric analysis, TRANSIT: PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT, MANAGEMENT AND PERFORMANCE, MARKETING FARE POLICY pp.97-106.
  • Dargay JM; Gately D (2001) Modelling Global Vehicle Ownership, WCTR Conference, Seoul, July, 2001, TSU ref. 2001/4. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2001) New Evidence on Bus Fare Elasticities for Great Britain, UTSG Annual Conference, Oxford, January 2001. .
  • Dargay JM; Hanly M (2001) The Demand for Air Travel in Great Britain, WCTR Conference, Seoul, July, 2001. .
  • Dargay JM; Madre JL; Berri A (2000) Car ownership dynamics seen through the follow-up of cohorts - Comparison of France and the United Kingdom, TRANSPORTATION NETWORK PLANNING pp.31-38.
  • Hanly M; Dargay JM (2000) Car ownership in Great Britain - Panel data analysis, TRANSPORT RES REC pp.83-89.

Conference Presentations

  • Toner JP; Dargay JM; Liu R (2010) CONCESSIONARY BUS FARES IN ENGLAND: THE IMPACT ON BUS TRAVEL BY THE OVER-60S, European Transport Conference .
  • Batley R; Dargay JM; Ibanez JN; Wardman MR; Shires JD (2008) An Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Reliability on Passenger Rail Demand, European Transport Conference Proceedings 2008 .
  • Wardman MR; Dargay JM; Toner JP (2007) Modelling Approaches to Support Rail Fares Regulation in Scotland, WCTR 2007, Berekeley, 25- 28 June .

Search site