Institute for Transport Studies (ITS)

Passenger Demand Forecasting Handbook

Course Date: To be confirmed

Course fee: £450

This is the first course to run since the recent upgrade to 5.1. This course explains the demand forecasting principles underlying the Passenger Demand Forecasting Handbook, as widely used in the UK railway industry, and provides a step-by-step guide to the forecasting procedures contained within it.  A wide range of worked examples are covered and a workshop tackles a series of practical demand forecasting problems using software to apply PDFH recommendations to real-world situations. The course is designed for railway managers and consultants involved in rail demand forecasting. 


  • Outline and objectives
  • Principles and concepts

    • Principles of demand models and brief overview of different types of model
    • Elasticities and cross elasticities
    • Relationships between elasticities
    • Generalised Journey Time (GJT) and rooftop model
    • Implicit elasticities
    • Conditional and non-conditional Elasticities

  • PDFH 5.1

    • Discussion of PDFH as a forecasting framework
    • Changes from previous versions of PDFH
    • The effect of crowding and other service quality factors
    • Worked forecasting examples

  • Demand forecasting software demonstration
  • Practical workshop
  • For further information on the course content please contact Fitsum Teklu - Email: fteklu(at)

    Further information & how to book

    The course will be held at the Association of Train Operating Companies (ATOC) offices, near Russell Square 2nd Floor, 200 Aldersgate Street, London EC1A 4HD. Refreshments and lunch will be provided. The course is also available as bespoke or in-company training. Course bookings and other enquiries can be made via:

    Short Courses Co-ordinator:
    Tel: +44 (0)113 343 9904
    Email: cpd(at)

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