Institute for Transport Studies (ITS)

Passenger Demand Forecasting Handbook

Course Date: Friday 19th October 2018

Course fee: £450

Location: London

This course explains the demand forecasting principles underlying the Passenger Demand Forecasting Handbook, as widely used in the UK railway industry, and provides a step-by-step guide to the forecasting procedures contained within it.  A wide range of worked examples are covered and a workshop tackles a series of practical demand forecasting problems using software to apply PDFH recommendations to real-world situations. The course is designed for railway managers and consultants involved in rail demand forecasting. 


  • Outline and objectives
  • Principles and concepts

    • Principles of demand models and brief overview of different types of model
    • Elasticities and cross elasticities
    • Relationships between elasticities
    • Generalised Journey Time (GJT) and rooftop model
    • Implicit elasticities
    • Conditional and non-conditional Elasticities
    • Discussion of PDFH as a forecasting framework
    • Changes from previous versions of PDFH
    • The effect of crowding and other service quality factors
    • Worked forecasting examples

  • Demand forecasting software demonstration
  • Practical workshop
  • For further information on the course content please contact Fitsum Teklu - Email: fteklu(at)

    Further information & how to book

    The course will be held at Rail Delivery Group - 200 Aldersgate Street (South Building), London EC1A 4HD. Refreshments and lunch will be provided. The course is also available as bespoke or in-company training. Course bookings and other enquiries can be made via: 

    Short Courses Co-ordinator:
    Tel: +44 (0)113 343 9904
    Email: cpd(at)

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